The claim
We collected one tweet for this scheme, with a few thousand views1. We name an account only if it has about 10,000 followers or sells something tied to the claim; this small account meets neither, so we paraphrase it1.
The tweet says the author made $9 in one video of a game while risking $3, that players are paid for beating other players, and that the author could do it all day1. The page judges the scheme, not the person who tweeted.
The tweet tags Trenches, a shooter in which players deposit SOL, the coin of the Solana network, and each room has a fixed stake per kill, paid by the player who dies to their killer12. A winner’s money is money another player lost. The evidence mostly says real money is in play, but we did not deposit or withdraw5963.
The sums
The game’s scripts state that the house, the company running the game, keeps 4% of each kill’s stake45. The landing page describes a flat entry fee instead, and we could not see the live value2. At 4%, a kill pays 96% of the stake and a death costs all of it, so break-even needs just over 1.04 kills per death (our estimate)45.
Kills needed in a month to clear $1,000 (our estimate)345:
| Stake per kill | 2 kills per death | 3 kills per death |
|---|---|---|
| $0.05 | about 43,500 | about 31,900 |
| $5 | about 435 | about 320 |
Every kill needs an opponent who stakes the same amount and loses. The most active account has 10,251 kills since launch, with staked and free play mixed together10. We found no data on how many players use the higher-stake rooms.
What happens to most people who try
For Trenches we do not know: we found no independent player who published tracked results. The game’s public profit board stops at 50 accounts, all ahead, so losing accounts are out of sight9. Because of the house cut, players as a group must lose.
The best measured comparison is one 2015 study of daily fantasy sports, a paid skill contest. It found “91 percent of DFS player profits were won by just 1.3 percent of players”, and the 80% it called “minnows” lost $25 on $49 of fees38. It is a different game and an old study, read on McKinsey’s German site because the main site refused our agents38.
Earlier games paid in their own tokens, digital coins the game creates. In Axie Infinity, owners called guilds lent the game’s creatures to players for a share29. Players reported up to $2,000 a month at the peak, by their own account; by late April 2022 the largest guild’s players were at “around $20 a month”24.
The upside
- Trenches. At least 50 accounts show a net gain on the five-cent board; the best all-time result is about $30 and the middle of the 50 about $0.67 (our estimate)917. Most of the profit appears to have been won within a few weeks in July and August 2026 (our estimate)63. These are the operator’s records, not independently verified, and higher-stake results are not published. We found no documented case of a player earning more.
- Fantasy sports. The top 11 players averaged $135,000 profit in half a season on $2 million of entry fees each, by operators’ data38. They had many thousands of weaker paying players to win from; the Trenches boards show no such market9123862.
- Axie, 2021. Borrowers put in no money and, by the largest guild’s own figures, received very roughly $1,550 each over the first months (our estimate)25. One owner said he made $20,000 a month at the peak, by his own account22.
We did not research the token games running today, such as Pixels or the current Axie. In the searches we did run, we found no checkable report of a continuing income from a crypto game in 2025 or 2026.
What it takes to compete
Those who win have skill well above the room, plenty of weaker opponents, and volume38. Opponents are the tightest limit: the duel board lists five players12. In token games, the winners were early and sold before the price fell2425.
Costs in Trenches: a deposit from about $1.10 (our estimate), up to ten times the stake per session, and the 4% cut24517. The game holds the keys to the wallets (coin accounts) it creates for players; whoever holds a key controls the money, and its policy says checks may “place withdrawals on hold”8. Test a small withdrawal before depositing more.
How to tell early:
- Count kills and deaths over a few hundred staked fights at the lowest stake. Below break-even, you are paying the others45.
- Check the weekly profit board. No recorded staked profit this week means few people to win from11. It was empty when we read it, though the weekly kills board listed 10 accounts; we could not tell why1162.
- Look for the “+bots” mark, which shows computer-run opponents, before staking in a room3.
- Check whether staking money on a game of skill is lawful where you live; in some places it is not515254. We are not saying Trenches or its players break any law.
Who else makes money from it
The house takes its cut on every kill, and by default half goes to whoever referred the player4. Trenches also pays people in its own token to post gameplay videos, so a video of someone winning can be a paid post14. We do not know whether this tweet was one.
The full researchEvery figure, every source, and what we could not verifyAbout 8,700 words · 63 sources →Sources (63)
- Does It Pay collection of 1 tweets on this scheme, collected 2026-10-06. Tweet dated to the end of July 2026 from its ID. Read from the project's own file on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, landing page. https://www.playtrenches.com/ Page last modified 2026-10-07. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, room-creation script. https://www.playtrenches.com/TemplateData/lobbies.js Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, referral script. https://www.playtrenches.com/TemplateData/affiliate.js Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, token staking script. https://www.playtrenches.com/TemplateData/staking.js Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, landing script. https://www.playtrenches.com/TemplateData/landing.js Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, live settings file. https://www.playtrenches.com/TemplateData/inhouse-config.js Undated; names the environment "production" and the network "mainnet-beta". Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, privacy policy. https://www.playtrenches.com/privacy.html Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches data feed, all-time profit board, main mode. https://trenches-api.vercel.app/api/leaderboard?metric=pnl&mode=deploy&period=all&limit=5000 Read at source on 2026-10-10, about 14:05 UTC.
- Trenches data feed, all-time kills board (same rows for every mode). https://trenches-api.vercel.app/api/leaderboard?metric=kills&mode=deploy&period=all&limit=5000 Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches data feed, weekly and daily profit boards. https://trenches-api.vercel.app/api/leaderboard?metric=pnl&mode=deploy&period=week Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches data feed, duel profit board. https://trenches-api.vercel.app/api/leaderboard?metric=pnl&mode=duel&period=all&limit=200 Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches data feed, tournament status. https://trenches-api.vercel.app/api/tournament/status Tournament created 2026-07-22, finals deadline 2026-07-30. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches clip campaign page. https://trench-clipping.vercel.app Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- DexScreener data feed for the $TRENCH token; supply from the Solana network. https://api.dexscreener.com/latest/dex/tokens/DWQJRoA5hQBGafXCbbtNPNnNh8FfL4S9hiVabrK6pump Trading pair created 2026-06-29. Read at source on 2026-10-10, at about 14:05 and 14:20 UTC.
- pump.fun, fees page. https://pump.fun/docs/fees Updated 2026-10-08. Read at source on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader.
- CoinGecko data feed: SOL price and token falls from peak. https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/markets Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- CoinGecko, "How many GameFi are dead". https://www.coingecko.com/research/publications/how-many-gamefi-dead 2023-11-29, page marked updated 2026-04-30. Read at source on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader; the direct route was refused.
- DappRadar, "State of Blockchain Gaming in Q2 2025". https://dappradar.com/blog/state-of-blockchain-gaming-in-q2-2025 2025-07-10. Read at source on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader.
- CoinDesk on the Caladan study of web3 games. https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/23/more-than-90-of-web3-games-failed-after-usd15-billion-boom-as-gamers-never-showed-up-caladan 2026-04-23. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Naavik, "Axie Infinity: Infinite Opportunity or Infinite Peril?". https://naavik.co/digest/axie-infinity-infinite-opportunity-or-infinite-peril/ 2021-11-12. Read at source on 2026-10-10 (text only; charts not read).
- Forkast, "Earnings in Axie Infinity fall below minimum wage". https://forkast.news/earnings-axie-infinity-below-minimum-wage/ 2021-11-16. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Context (Thomson Reuters Foundation), "Stung by losses, Filipino players ditch Axie Infinity crypto game". https://www.context.news/big-tech/stung-by-losses-filipino-players-ditch-axie-infinity-crypto-game 2023-04-26. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Rest of World on Axie Infinity after the Ronin theft. https://restofworld.org/2022/axie-infinity-hack/ 2022-06-22. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Yield Guild Games, "YGG Community Roundup July 2021". https://yieldguild.substack.com/p/ygg-community-roundup-july-2021 2021-08-12. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Covalent, Axie analysis part two, archived copy. http://web.archive.org/web/20240415054958/https://www.covalenthq.com/blog/axie-part-two/ Undated, about January 2022; archived 2024-04-15. Read at source on 2026-10-10 from the archive.
- Lai, Fan and Cai, study of Axie Infinity wallets, IEEE MetaCom 2023. https://faculty.washington.edu/weicaics/paper/papers/YimingLFC2023.pdf 2023-06. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Cointelegraph on Yield Guild Games scholarships in early 2022. https://cointelegraph.com/news/game-on-yield-guild-games-scholarships-on-the-rise-through-q1 2022-05-24. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Forkast, "Earnings from play-to-earn games dwindle". https://forkast.news/earnings-play-to-earn-games-dwindle-upskill-players/ 2022-07-08. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Decrypt on Axie Infinity's marketplace fee rise. https://decrypt.co/94134/axie-infinity-players-push-back-on-fee-hike-as-play-to-earn-economy-lags 2022-03-01. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Decrypt on Notcoin after its airdrop. https://kakapo.decrypt.co/235669/notcoin-loses-11-after-the-not-airdrop-claim-ends 2024-06-17. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Decrypt, "What is Hamster Kombat". https://decrypt.co/233407/what-is-hamster-kombat-telegram-game-token-airdrop 2024-06-02, updated 2025-01-02. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- The Defiant on Hamster Kombat's airdrop exclusions. https://thedefiant.io/news/tokens/hamster-kombat-faces-backlash-for-excluding-57-of-users-from-airdrop 2024-09-23. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader.
- Decrypt on Hamster Kombat's account bans. https://decrypt.co/250940/why-hamster-kombat-purged-millions-players-telegram-airdrop 2024-09-24. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- HackerNoon, "How much did Hamster Kombat earn and why are users unhappy". https://hackernoon.com/how-much-did-hamster-kombat-earn-and-why-are-users-unhappy 2024-10-09. Secondary (one author's informal survey); read on 2026-10-10.
- Decrypt review of Ev.io. https://decrypt.co/149902/frenetic-shooter-evio-earn-solana-while-fragging-enemies 2023-07-24. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Decrypt on Bonk Arena. https://decrypt.co/323296/solana-meme-coin-bonk-kill-to-earn-shooter-game 2025-06-02. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- McKinsey, "For daily fantasy sports operators, the curse of too much skill". https://karriere.mckinsey.de/industries/technology-media-and-telecommunications/our-insights/for-daily-fantasy-sports-operators-the-curse-of-too-much-skill 2015-09-01. Read at source on 2026-10-10 on McKinsey's German site; mckinsey.com refused both routes.
- Bitquery, investigation of Collector Crypt's card product. https://bitquery.io/investigations/collector-crypt-jupiter-gacha 2026-07-13. Read at source on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader.
- Study of Ethereum gambling apps, PLOS ONE. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7592737/ 2020 (month not confirmed). Read at source on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader.
- BlackRain79, "What percentage of poker players are winners". https://www.blackrain79.com/2019/09/what-percentage-of-poker-players-are.html 2019-09. Read at source on 2026-10-10; the author's own estimate.
- Kelley Drye, note on the Skillz v. Papaya Gaming verdict. https://www.kelleydrye.com/viewpoints/blogs/ad-law-access/game-company-hit-with-420-million-false-advertising-verdict 2026-04-28, with an update on the July 2026 order. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center, alert I-030923-PSA. https://www.ic3.gov/PSA/2023/PSA230309 2023-03-09. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- FBI statement on the $620 million theft. https://www.fbi.gov/news/press-releases/fbi-statement-on-attribution-of-malicious-cyber-activity-posed-by-the-democratic-peoples-republic-of-korea 2022-04-14. Read at source on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader; the direct route was refused.
- Texas State Securities Board, Emergency Cease and Desist Order ENF-22-CDO-1860. https://www.ssb.texas.gov/sites/default/files/2022-04/Order_ENF_22_CDO_1860_.pdf 2022-04-13. Read at source on 2026-10-10. No longer cited on this page: the matter is not about a play-to-earn game.
- US Securities and Exchange Commission, Litigation Release 26223. https://www.sec.gov/enforcement-litigation/litigation-releases/lr-26223 2025-01-16. Read at source on 2026-10-10. No longer cited on this page: the matter is not about a game.
- Google Play, real-money gambling policy and blockchain content policy. https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/9877032?hl=en and https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/13607354?hl=en Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Apple, App Store Review Guidelines. https://developer.apple.com/app-store/review/guidelines/ Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Steam, onboarding rules for developers. https://partner.steamgames.com/doc/gettingstarted/onboarding Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Telegram, blockchain guidelines for mini apps. https://core.telegram.org/bots/blockchain-guidelines Undated; cites deadlines in February 2025. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Florida Statutes, section 849.14. http://www.leg.state.fl.us/statutes/index.cfm?App_mode=Display_Statute&URL=0800-0899/0849/Sections/0849.14.html Current text. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Lawrence G. Walters, overview of skill gaming in US states. https://www.firstamendment.com/skill-gaming-states/ 2020-08-14. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Revised Code of Washington, section 9.46.240. https://app.leg.wa.gov/rcw/default.aspx?cite=9.46.240 Current text. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Gambling Act 2005 (Great Britain), section 6. https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2005/19/section/6 Current text. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Bae, Kim & Lee, note on South Korea's play-to-earn ruling. https://www.bkl.co.kr/en/law/insight/newsletter/5356 2023-01-31. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10 through the r.jina.ai reader.
- US Internal Revenue Service, questions and answers on virtual currency. https://www.irs.gov/individuals/international-taxpayers/frequently-asked-questions-on-virtual-currency-transactions Reviewed 2026-06-30. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- US Internal Revenue Service, Topic 419, gambling income and losses. https://www.irs.gov/taxtopics/tc419 Reviewed 2026-09-24. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Decrypt on the shooter OverTrip's age rating. https://decrypt.co/295657/battle-royale-shooter-overtrip-epic-games-store-solana 2024-12-09. Secondary; read on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, wallet script. https://www.playtrenches.com/TemplateData/wallet.js Undated. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, run-time settings. https://www.playtrenches.com/runtime-config.js Build tag production-20261006. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches, status address. https://www.playtrenches.com/inhouse-health Live reading. Read at source on 2026-10-10.
- Trenches data feed, weekly and daily kills boards. https://trenches-api.vercel.app/api/leaderboard?metric=kills&mode=deploy&period=week Read at source on 2026-10-10, about 14:25 UTC and again later the same day.
- Solana network public lookup, latest transaction of each of the 50 accounts on the profit board in source 9. https://api.mainnet-beta.solana.com Our own check, read at source on 2026-10-10; the reading of what the dates mean is our estimate.
